MSNBC is looking at the results in specific rural Indiana counties, saying that Obama is running several percentage points higher than Democrat John Kerry did in those counties. Even though Indiana is still too close to call, this could be a sign that he could win this reliably "red" state.
CNN has McCain expanding his lead to 52-47 in Indiana right now.
Watch for urban areas in each and every state; they tend to go Democratic. Rural areas are more likely to go Republican. In Indiana, Indianapolis and Gary (southeastern Chicago metropolitan area) are the two major urban areas.
Several more states have closed their polls now at 6:30 but MSNBC is not calling any of those states yet. I believe Fox has called West Virginia for McCain, which would give him a 13 to 3 electoral vote lead so far.
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3 comments:
why do the polls close at different times?
I also wonder if the surge in early voting will be similar to the urban and rural effect.
Why do the polls close at different times in different states? Because each state sets its own election rules, and of course time zones play a role.
As we continue to try to improve a sometimes "rickety" election system in the United States, standardizing election practices across states may be on the table.
What do you see with the surge in early voting? That it will favor one party or the other? CNN's Paul Begala just said that he thinks early voters usually go 60-40 Republican, but this year it might be the opposite.
I think the early votes will generally trend towards the overall percentage split. I also think the Obama campaign made a stronger effort to encourage early voting.
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